Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.180700 0.202662 0.225593 0.251265 0.279148 0.308458 0.341543
2025-02-09 0.151520 0.181323 0.213959 0.252160 0.295450 0.342791 0.398272
2025-02-16 0.131879 0.166990 0.207043 0.255708 0.312811 0.377263 0.455064
2025-02-23 0.119472 0.159029 0.205798 0.264465 0.335346 0.417464 0.518997
2025-03-02 0.104171 0.145678 0.196494 0.262220 0.343845 0.440728 0.563171
2025-03-09 0.092621 0.135634 0.190019 0.262341 0.354390 0.465998 0.609768
2025-03-16 0.082288 0.126016 0.183043 0.260893 0.362270 0.487618 0.651912
2025-03-23 0.076091 0.121257 0.181791 0.266329 0.378593 0.519724 0.707413
2025-03-30 0.068844 0.114291 0.176917 0.266396 0.387552 0.542360 0.751172
2025-04-06 0.062377 0.107799 0.172102 0.266012 0.395528 0.563562 0.793214
2025-04-13 0.056674 0.101881 0.167583 0.265571 0.403089 0.584082 0.834499
2025-04-20 0.052351 0.097658 0.165129 0.267716 0.413988 0.609003 0.881795
2025-04-27 0.049721 0.096054 0.166651 0.275925 0.434013 0.647274 0.948562
2025-05-04 0.045584 0.091619 0.163586 0.277208 0.444231 0.672447 0.998344
2025-05-11 0.042484 0.088616 0.162470 0.281207 0.458298 0.703074 1.055991
2025-05-18 0.040872 0.088010 0.165020 0.290736 0.480515 0.745347 1.130218
2025-05-25 0.036940 0.082917 0.160023 0.288378 0.485133 0.763020 1.170886
2025-06-01 0.033881 0.079097 0.156812 0.288540 0.493321 0.785724 1.218758
2025-06-08 0.030806 0.074927 0.152706 0.286999 0.498754 0.804454 1.261251
2025-06-15 0.029257 0.073554 0.153245 0.292862 0.515481 0.839632 1.327376
2025-06-22 0.026907 0.070343 0.150360 0.292939 0.523213 0.861804 1.375315
2025-06-29 0.024691 0.067166 0.147306 0.292529 0.530058 0.882687 1.421627
2025-07-06 0.022659 0.064154 0.144332 0.292056 0.536682 0.903250 1.467687